NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

1. A Hybrid Adaptive Covariance Inflation Method for EnKF-Based ENSO Prediction NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Gong, Mengmeng | Zhang, Liang ... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(2) - 627～643 - 共17页

摘要：The ensemble-based data assimilation method is | usually used for the initialization of El Ni & ntilde;o | -Southern Oscillation (ENSO) prediction. Because of | sampling errors caused by a finite ensemble, imperfect | physical parameterizations, and other factors, the

关键词： Atmosphere-ocean interaction | ENSO | Climate prediction | Probability forecasts/models/distribution

2. Changes in Equatorial Kelvin Wave Activity in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere Associated with Interannual Variability of the Upper-Tropospheric Equatorial Zonal Wind NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Suzuki, Junko | Nishi, Noriyuki ... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(3) - 749～759 - 共11页

摘要：We investigate the influence of the background | wind regime on interannual variability in equatorial | Kelvin waves (including both freely propagating ones | and convectively coupled ones) in the upper | troposphere and lower stratosphere using the ERA5 reanalysis

关键词： Kelvin waves | Walker circulation | Stratosphere-troposphere coupling | Tropopause | ENSO | Interannual variability

3. Tropical Intraseasonal Variability as a Leading Moisture Dynamic Mode of the Warm-Pool Background State NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Hayashi, Michiya | Jin, Fei-fei - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(1) - 235～262 - 共28页

摘要：Tropical intraseasonal variability (ISV) is | dominated by the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO), and its | spatiotemporal characteristics vary with the Indo-Pacific warm | -pool background on seasonal and longer time scales | . Previous works have suggested ISV dynamics in various

关键词： Tropical variabilty | Intraseasonal variability | Madden-Julian oscillation | Seasonal cycle | Warm pool | Baroclinic models

4. How Do Model Biases Affect Large-Scale Teleconnections That Control Southwest US Precipitation? Part II: Seasonal Models NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Peings, Y. | Dong, C.... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(1) - 423～444 - 共22页

摘要：We explore the skill in predicting southwest | United States (SWUS) October-March precipitation and | associated large-scale teleconnections in an ensemble of | hindcasts from seasonal prediction systems. We identify | key model biases that degrade the models' capability

关键词： Atmospheric circulation | Teleconnections | Rainfall | Seasonal forecasting | General circulation models | Interannual variability

5. Characteristic Analysis of India-Burma Trough Events and Its Impact on Winter Precipitation in South and East Asia: Based on Objective Identification NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Cao, Xiaohang | Yuan, Junpeng ... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(1) - 387～401 - 共15页

摘要：During the boreal winter, the India-Burma | trough (IBT), a shortwave trough system primarily | positioned over the northern Bay of Bengal, exerts a | significant synoptic-scale variation and impact on | precipitation in South and East Asia. This study utilizes the

关键词： Rossby waves | Synoptic climatology | Synoptic-scale processes | Troughs

6. Diagnosing the Factors That Contribute to the Intermodel Spread of Climate Feedback in CMIP6 NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Wang, Chenggong | Yang, Wenchang ... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(3) - 663～674 - 共12页

摘要：The global surface temperature climate | feedback parameter A varies significantly across climate | models, and its real-world value remains uncertain | . Studies have found that the sea surface temperature (SST | ) response pattern and atmospheric model physics can each

关键词： Sea surface temperature | Climate models | Coupled models | Model comparison | Model evaluation/performance

7. Future Derecho Potential in the United States NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Kaminski, Kristie | Ashley, Walker s ... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(1) - 3～26 - 共24页

摘要：This study uses high-resolution, convection | -permitting, dynamically downscaled regional climate | simulation output to assess how long-lived, convectively | induced, extratropical windstorms known as derechos may | change across the CONUS during the twenty-first century

关键词： Derecho | Severe storms | Squall lines | Climate change | Mesoscale systems

8. Atmospheric Circulation Patterns Conducive to Summer Extreme Temperature, Precipitation, and Vapor Pressure Deficit Events over Northeast China NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Li, Xingxing | Sun, Jianqi - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(3) - 835～853 - 共19页

摘要：Based on daily observational and reanalysis | datasets during 1979-2021, we classify summer atmospheric | circulations over northeast China (NEC) into nine circulation | patterns (CPs; CP1-CP9) by a self-organizing map (SOM | ) neural network and link extreme temperature

关键词： Atmosphere | Asia | Atmospheric circulation | Extreme events

9. The Influence of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice in the Barents Sea on Spring Mongolian Cyclone Activity NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Wang, Jing | Chen, Lei ... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(4) - 877～889 - 共13页

摘要：The Mongolian cyclone, a type of extratropical | cyclone, significantly impacts regional weather. This | study objectively identifies and tracks the Mongolian | cyclone during spring (March-May) from 1950 to 2022 | , analyzing the relationships between its interannual

关键词： Sea ice | Atmospheric circulation | Extratropical cyclones | Air-sea interaction | Climate variability | Numerical analysis/modeling

10. Revisiting the Inconsistent Influence of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on the Equatorial Atlantic NSTL国家科技图书文献中心

Richter, Ingo | Kido, Shoichiro ... - 《Journal of Climate》 - 2025,38(2) - 481～496 - 共16页

摘要：The impact of El Ni & ntilde;o-Southern | Oscillation (ENSO) on the equatorial Atlantic zonal mode | (AZM) is investigated using two atmospheric | reanalysis products and 44 models from phase 6 of the | Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). While the